Relação entre variáveis microeconômicas e o valor de mercado das incorporadoras imobiliárias no Brasil: uma análise de 2005 a 2013

Abstract

When compared to other Brazilian companies traded at BOVESPA, real estate listed companies, in the period 2005-2013, had a sharp drop in market value. In this period, the years of 2006 and 2007 were marked by particularly strong concentration of IPOs in the Brazilian market, and in the same way that other companies, real estate companies turned to the stock market in an unusual high frequency to finance their operations. Specifically in the real estate industry, a high percentage of companies went public in these two years: 60% of all companies in the sector. Studies on the annomalies due to IPOs usually address the undervaluation of the issuing companies, the concentrated emission at hot market times (Market Timing) and the poor performance of stocks and operations of these companies in the long run. Thus, this work aimed to investigate whether there was a relationship between the poor performance of the real estate industry in the Brazilian market and the significant number of IPOs that companies of this sector performed. For this purpose, non-financial companies from all sectors traded at BOVESPA were studied, comparing the market value divided by total assets of the companies that went public in the period with companies that was already traded. Furthermore, the behavior of the same indicator for real estate developers was contrasted with other sectors. In order to isolate any other incident effects on the test variable, different panel data regressions were estimated, controlling for risk, size, profitability, growth, years and sectors. Empirical evidence suggests that the poor performance observed in the real estate developers would be linked to the unusually high incidence of IPOs in the sector in the period, not to any particularities of these companies, directing the results primarily to issues of Market Timing in the IPO market timing, not to any operational difficulties in the real statebusiness.

When compared to other Brazilian companies traded at BOVESPA, real estate listed companies, in the period 2005-2013, had a sharp drop in market value. In this period, the years of 2006 and 2007 were marked by particularly strong concentration of IPOs in the Brazilian market, and in the same way that other companies, real estate companies turned to the stock market in an unusual high frequency to finance their operations. Specifically in the real estate industry, a high percentage of companies went public in these two years: 60% of all companies in the sector. Studies on the annomalies due to IPOs usually address the undervaluation of the issuing companies, the concentrated emission at hot market times (Market Timing) and the poor performance of stocks and operations of these companies in the long run. Thus, this work aimed to investigate whether there was a relationship between the poor performance of the real estate industry in the Brazilian market and the significant number of IPOs that companies of this sector performed. For this purpose, non-financial companies from all sectors traded at BOVESPA were studied, comparing the market value divided by total assets of the companies that went public in the period with companies that was already traded. Furthermore, the behavior of the same indicator for real estate developers was contrasted with other sectors. In order to isolate any other incident effects on the test variable, different panel data regressions were estimated, controlling for risk, size, profitability, growth, years and sectors. Empirical evidence suggests that the poor performance observed in the real estate developers would be linked to the unusually high incidence of IPOs in the sector in the period, not to any particularities of these companies, directing the results primarily to issues of Market Timing in the IPO market timing, not to any operational difficulties in the real statebusiness.